The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derry City 29%
Draw 29.9%
Bohemians Dublin 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
28.8%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
27.7%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Bohemians Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians Dublin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
50%
43.7%
Derry City - Bohemians Dublin Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Bohemians will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Beach E. (G) 2. Cotter B. 22. Barr C. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 8. O'Reilly A. 23. Dummigan C. 21. Santos K. 10. Markey D. 7. Duffy M. (C) 15. Clarke J.
25. Walters P. (G) 24. Byrne C. 12. Hickey P. 22. Todd S. 16. Power D. 10. Devoy D. (C) 5. Diallo S. 11. Rooney D. 26. Tierney R. 9. Whelan C. 8. Vaughan H.
Substitutes
27. Boyce L. 26. Callister S. (G) 14. Doherty B. 32. Doherty T. 31. Downey C. 16. McClean J. 28. Olayinka J. 24. Rylah H. 20. Winchester C.
3. Burke R. 6. Flores J. 20. Kavanagh L. 17. McDonnell A. 30. McDonnell F. (G) 4. Morahan N. 15. Mullen S. 23. Myers Z. 7. Parsons C.
Coaches
Lynch T.
Reynolds A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Vaughan H. ⚽, Tierney R. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽, Santos K. (A),
29', McClean P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Cotter B. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Barr C. ⚽,
60', Diallo S. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
60', Rooney D. ↓, Parsons C. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, Santos K. ⚽, Duffy M. (A),
67', Dummigan C. 🟨,
69', Vaughan H. ↓, Burke R. ↑,
69', Byrne C. ↓, McDonnell A. ↑,
74', Flores J. 🟨,
75', Tierney R. 🟨,
78', Olayinka J. ↓, Boyce L. ↑,
79', Tierney R. ↓, Myers Z. ↑,
82', Myers Z. 🟨,
83', Clarke J. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Duffy M. ↓, McClean J. ↑,
87', Santos K. ↓, Rylah H. ↑,
90+3', Markey D. ↓, Downey C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 1.
Derry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bohemians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Derry: Maher B.
(Inactive)
Slevin R.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bohemians: Mullen S.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Derry: Winchester C.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bohemians: Strods M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).
Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now
Bohemians: 20.48%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bohemians
32
17
8
7
57:38
19
59
4
Derry City
32
9
14
9
45:42
3
41
Last Results with these Odds
Bohemians Dublin - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.62%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.