Match Info

Date: 5 May 2021, Wednesday


	Bolívar		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.25
	1.4	4.2	6.75	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.4
	1.41	4.66	7.88
	1.42	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	4.38 ↑ (4.05)	7.21 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
66%

Draw
21.1%

Ceará
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

13.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-29.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolívar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bolívar - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bolívar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ceará could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolívar is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.21	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.04.21	Aurora - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Bolívar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.21	Junior Barranquilla - Bolívar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTWL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.05.21	Ceará - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
01.05.21	Bahia - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
24.04.21	Ceará - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Ceará - Jorge Wilstermann	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTWW

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