Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Junior Barranquilla		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6	Watch
	1.36	5.25	7
	1.38	5.3	6.1	Watch
	1.35	4.8	6.6
	1.36	5.39	6.97
	1.38	5	7.5
	1.38	5.2	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	5.13 ↓ (5.18)	6.67 ↓ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
68%

Draw
18.1%

Bolívar
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

17.8%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

10.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Junior Barranquilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Junior Barranquilla - Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Junior is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bolívar is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bolívar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bolívar have a series of home games.

In this match Junior is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Junior won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Junior won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
11.04.21	Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.21	Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.04.21	Junior Barranquilla - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
30.03.21	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTWT
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.04.21	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.21	Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.21	Bolívar - Blooming	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Bolívar - Real Potosí	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.21	Bolívar - Montevideo Wanderers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.21	Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla	2:1
20.03.12	Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla	2:1

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