The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurora 26.9%
Draw 24.8%
Bolívar 48.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
25.5%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.
Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Aurora - Bolívar Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Aurora (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Cardenas L. (G) 30. Gonzales M. 24. Robles D. 10. Ortega M. 33. Enciso C. 6. Sejas C. 26. Torrico D. 20. Sanchez A. 8. Ramallo R. 12. Torrico J. 9. Escobar R.
33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 23. Justiniano L. 35. Rivero E. 2. Sagredo J. 4. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 32. Ramirez R. 21. Velasquez J. 11. Vaca R. 77. Romero D. 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
99. Akologo D. (G) 14. Aranibar B. 21. Ballivian R. 7. Mendoza M. 18. Reinoso J. 4. Troncoso Caiti E. 3. Vaca O. 16. Vidaurre I. 15. Viviani L.
10. Bruno Savio 12. Cordano R. (G) 1. Lampe C. (G) 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Mena F. 17. Pato Rodriguez 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 22. Rocha Y. 18. Sabja L. 3. Torren M. 6. Vaca Moreno E.
Coaches
Farrar D.
Robatto F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
29', Sanchez A. 🟨,
37', Sagredo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Torrico J. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
57', Sagredo J. 🟨,
62', Velasquez J. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
62', Romero D. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
63', Torrico D. 🟨,
68', Sanchez A. ↓, Reinoso J. ↑,
68', Robles D. ↓, Vaca O. ↑,
78', Sagredo J. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Rocha Y. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
82', Ortega M. ↓, Ballivian R. ↑,
82', Escobar R. ↓, Mendoza M. ↑,
83', Vaca R. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
86', Vaca O. 🟨,
90+4', Ramallo R. 🟨,
90+5', Rivero E. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:46. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
Bolivia
Watch
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Cardenas L. (G) 
Robles D. 
Ortega M. 
Lanzillotta F. (G) 
Ramirez R. 
Romero D. 
Fabio Gomes 
Farrar D. 
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