Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 11

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Terrazas C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Bolívar		Real Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.00	8.50	Watch
	1.22	6.25	8.00
	1.20	6.70	9.40	Watch
	1.16	7.78	14.52
	1.35	5.65	6.9	Watch
	1.09	7.70	14.00
	1.17	6.55	10.80	Watch
	1.19	6.20	8.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.26)	6.73 ↑ (6.13)	10.09 ↑ (8.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
77.2%

Draw
13.7%

Real Potosí
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

15.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Real Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bolívar - Real Potosí Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Bolívar (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lopez J. (G) 8. Paz L. 3. Arreaga X. 16. Zabala L. 2. Sagredo J. 77. Romero D. 80. Melgar C. A. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 10. Arce B. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 9. Cauteruccio M.	1. Martinez C. (G) 21. Fernandez W. 4. Villegas K. 2. Rioja J. (C) 16. Chore C. 3. Anasgo G. 30. Alipaz J. 8. Cardenas I. 6. Thomas J. 23. Ali L. 10. Castellon V.
Substitutes
27. Asprilla D. 5. Echeverria S. 35. Freita E. 1. Lampe C. (G) 33. Mena F. 11. Miranda B. 17. Pato Rodriguez 14. Robson Matheus 26. Saavedra E. 4. Sagredo J. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 7. Velasquez J.	19. Brito A. 12. Condori B. 17. Cuellar D. 41. Igor Soares 18. Rivas J. 77. Rojas J. 25. Sandy D. (G) 22. Supayabe F. 31. Terrazas R. 13. Vargas J. 35. Vedia C. 14. Velasquez E.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Romero D. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Romero D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 1 - 1, Ali L. ⚽, Alipaz J. (A),
45+6', Torres F. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chavez Cruz L. L. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
46', Sagredo J. ↓,
46', Chore C. ↓, Supayabe F. ↑,
46', Alipaz J. ↓, Vedia C. ↑,
46', Castellon V. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
52', Thomas J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
56', Arce B. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽, Cauteruccio M. (A),
64', Anasgo G. 🟨,
66', Ali L. 🟨,
75', Ali L. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
78', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
90+2', Melgar C. A. ↓, Echeverria S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 5.

Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 61:25. (average 3.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolívar won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:7. (average 3.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bolivar	20	14	3	3	54:22	32	45
4	Real Potosi	20	8	8	4	27:14	13	32

Last Results with these Odds

Bolívar - the odds 1.26 are the expected chance of winning is 74.21%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Bolívar - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.07.26	Bolívar - Guabirá	4:0 ✺
12.07.26	The Strongest - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Bolívar - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3 ✺
19.05.26	Fluminense - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTLL
- Real Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.07.26	Independiente Petroleros - Real Potosí	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Real Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	5:0 ✺
12.07.26	Real Potosí - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
08.07.26	Real Potosí - ABB	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	The Strongest - Real Potosí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
19.02.26	Real Potosí - Bolívar	1:3
13.02.26	Bolívar - Real Potosí	3:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.08.21	Real Potosí - Bolívar	0:2
21.03.21	Bolívar - Real Potosí	1:0
25.12.20	Real Potosí - Bolívar	2:3
01.03.20	Bolívar - Real Potosí	0:0
27.11.19	Real Potosí - Bolívar	2:5

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