Match Info

Championship - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bolton Wanderers		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.70	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.80
	2.48	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.51	3.51	2.92
	2.42	3.39	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.45	2.85
	2.54	3.51	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolton Wanderers
38.5%

Draw
27.8%

Lincoln City
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.5%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Lincoln will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonham J. (G) 5. Brunt L. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 14. Famewo A. 25. Conway M. 8. Sheehan J. (C) 21. Erhahon E. 16. Iling Junior S. 45. McAtee J. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S.	1. Wickens G. (G) 20. Elder C. 6. Towler R. 25. Elerewe D. 3. Reach A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. (C) 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 18. House B. 16. Jefferies D. 34. Draper F.
Substitutes
31. Bazunu G. (G) 6. Davies B. 7. Dong K. 39. Hardie R. 22. Larrazabal G. 26. Nelson J. 54. Ritchie T. 18. Toal E. 12. Watson D.	8. Bayliss T. 4. Coubis A. 46. Gauci J. (G) 23. Honohan J. 26. Konak Y. E. 10. Melia M. 19. Olaofe T. 17. Street R. 29. Wheatley E.
Coaches
Schumacher S.	Shaw T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', House B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Famewo A. ↓, Larrazabal G. ↑,
61', Iling Junior S. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
65', Draper F. ↓, Street R. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, House B. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
71', Gale T. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
72', McAtee J. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
79', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
80', Erhahon E. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
80', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
85', House B. ↓, Honohan J. ↑,
85', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
90+3', McGrandles C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lincoln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lincoln has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Bolton: Rodrigues R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lincoln: Bradley S. (Knock) Collins J. (Knee Injury) Darikwa T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Bolton: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Lincoln	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
17	Bolton	9	3	1	5	12:17	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Bolton Wanderers - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.63%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Lincoln City - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolton Wanderers
English League Championship
22.08.26	Queens Park Rangers - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - Preston North End	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bolton Wanderers - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
28.07.26	Fleetwood Town - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWT
- Lincoln City
English League Cup
25.08.26	Blackpool - Lincoln City	1:4 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Lincoln City - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Middlesbrough - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Derby County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Barnsley - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.02.26	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
23.08.25	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	1:1
21.04.25	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	4:2
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
English League One
29.12.24	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	3:0
26.12.23	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
05.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Lincoln City	3:0

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