Match Info

League Two - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Barrow		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	2.1
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.7	2.98	2.18
	3.97	3.1	2.16
	3.5	3.17	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.8	2.95	2.12	Watch
	3	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.66)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.17 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
27%

Draw
29.9%

Oldham Athletic
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.7%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Barrow - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Oldham (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oldham (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 50%). Oldham (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 4. Williams M. (C) 2. MacDonald A. 22. Anderson J. 34. Whitfield B. 8. Smith S. 14. McCann C. 45. Harper R. 7. Jackson B. 25. Gordon J. 33. Rose D.	1. Hudson M. (G) 16. Sutton W. 40. Simeu D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 4. Pett T. (C) 8. Woods R. 26. Payne K. 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J.
Substitutes
20. Fletcher I. 19. Malcolm J. 11. Newby E. 28. Powell B. 26. Thompson J. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	31. Donaghy T. (G) 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 22. Jalo F. 3. Leake J. 38. McMahon-Brown F. 7. Taylor K.
Coaches
Foley S.	Mellon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Smith S. 🟨,
22', MacDonald A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Payne K. ⚽, Robson J. (A),
53', Simeu D. 🟨,
61', Gordon J. 🟨,
63', Simeu D. ↓, Leake J. ↑,
70', Garner J. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
70', Whitfield B. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
74', Smith S. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
79', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Williams M. (A),
83', 2 - 1, Gordon J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Pett T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Fletcher I. ⚽, Newby E. (A),
90+2', Newby E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.

Barrow has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oldham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Oldham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Foley S. (Surgery) Gordon J. (Inactive) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury) Walker T. (Inactive) Williams M. (Inactive) Winterbottom B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Oldham: 2.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
11.04.26	Barnet - Barrow	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Barrow - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Barrow - Bromley	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Grimsby Town - Barrow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWL
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
11.04.26	Shrewsbury Town - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Oldham Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Colchester United - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Crewe Alexandra - Oldham Athletic	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Oldham Athletic - Notts County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.10.25	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:0
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	1:1
English League Two
29.12.21	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	0:0
04.09.21	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:3
23.02.21	Oldham Athletic - Barrow	0:1
24.11.20	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	3:4

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