Match Info

1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ataturk City Stadium (Van)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Vanspor		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.65	3.65
	1.9	3.82	3.54	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.7
	1.88	3.48	3.57	Watch
	1.81	3.66	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.68)	3.62 ↑ (3.15)	3.65 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vanspor
49.6%

Draw
25.3%

Boluspor
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boluspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	37.5%	31.2%

Vanspor - Boluspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Boluspor will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 9.4% – 57.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Boluspor (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vanspor (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Boluspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Akbaba C. (C) 13. Oulare N. 53. Cavusoglu M. 6. Jevsenak Z. 22. Destici S. 41. Ozcan M. 35. Isciler B. 45. Bars E. 7. Hostikka S. 8. Traore A. 19. Bikoue	91. Dirdiroglu T. (G) 2. Artan O. 24. Arslan K. 28. Kouagba L. 3. Lima L. (C) 5. Senyurt D. 8. Lico D. 80. Balburdia M. 17. Davas D. 9. Usluoglu A. 7. Alici B.
Substitutes
65. Bingol M. 1. Damlu A. (G) 4. Dikmen E. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 76. Kara B. C. 44. Secgin E. 98. Tumen S. 77. Usta G. 82. Yildrim A.	34. Alpsoy H. 20. Cayli M. A. 76. Dizbay K. A. (G) 81. Kazanci E. 14. Kirim A. 22. Kulbilge B. (G) 33. Saygi A. 15. Topcu B. 46. Yildiz M. 23. Yilmaz C.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Arslan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Kouagba L. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Lico D. ⚽, Senyurt D. (A),
45', Davas D. 🟨,
45', Cavusoglu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Usluoglu A. ↓, Cayli M. A. ↑,
60', Cavusoglu M. ↓, Kara B. C. ↑,
69', Traore A. 🟨,
70', Kara B. C. 🟨,
75', Balburdia M. 🟨,
77', Hostikka S. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
79', Lico D. 🟨,
83', Alici B. ↓, Kirim A. ↑,
85', Traore A. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
90+3', Bikoue 🟨,
90+3', Lima L. 🟨,
90+3', Davas D. ↓, Yilmaz C. ↑,
90+3', Artan O. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

Vanspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boluspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Vanspor: Dikmen E. (Muscle Injury) Genc F. C. (Suspended) Jefferson (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Boluspor: Akanbi R. (Yellow Cards) Bilir E. (Suspended) Kalburcu I. (Suspended) Ozdemir O. (Suspended) Uresin A. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Vanspor: Bars E. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Vanspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
27.12.25	Vanspor - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	İstanbulspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vanspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Manisa FK - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Trabzonspor - Vanspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
28.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Boluspor - Fethiyespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Boluspor - Pendikspor	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Adana Demirspor - Boluspor	1:6 ✺
07.12.25	Boluspor - Erzurumspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.08.25	Boluspor - Vanspor	2:3
Turkish Cup
19.12.18	Vanspor - Boluspor	2:2
05.12.18	Boluspor - Vanspor	5:1

Upcoming Matches