Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
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Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Bolívar		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5
	1.43	4.5	7	Watch
	1.45	4.59	6.7
	1.47	4.47	6.94	Watch
	1.36	4.6	8	Watch
	1.46	4.5	7.49	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.34)	4.53 ↓ (5.33)	7.2 ↑ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
66.1%

Draw
20.8%

Cerro Porteño
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

17.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Bolívar - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lampe C. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 3. Torren M. 32. Ramirez R. 4. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 21. Velasquez J. 77. Romero D. 17. Pato Rodriguez	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Benitez A. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 23. Velazquez G. 13. Benitez A. G. 5. Morel J. 26. Piris R. 3. Perez M. 8. Carrizo F. (C) 11. Iturbe J. 21. Araujo S.
Substitutes
20. Ayhuana A. 10. Bruno Savio 12. Cordano R. (G) 90. Fabio Gomes 33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 7. Mena F. 5. Quinteros J. 35. Rivero E. 2. Sagredo J. 6. Vaca Moreno E.	19. Chico 43. Eliseche N. 28. Farina A. 33. Gomez R. 37. Leon D. 49. Marecos T. 12. Martinez A. (G) 16. Nunez A. 4. Rivas L. 22. Rodriguez D. 18. Valdez B. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Robatto F.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Romero D. ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
44', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
44', Velazquez G. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Melgar C. A. ⚽, Justiniano L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Sagredo J. (A),
52', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
52', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
53', Morel J. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
57', Viera W. 🟨,
66', Perez M. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
67', Robson Matheus 🟨,
71', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
71', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
71', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
72', Velazquez G. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Torren M. (A),
81', Fabio Gomes 🟨,
88', Rocha Y. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
90+3', Piris R. 🟨,
90+3', Bruno Savio 🟨,

Preview

Bolívar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerro Porteño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G. (Inactive) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Torres J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.05.25	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.05.25	Bolívar - Blooming	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.25	Palmeiras - Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.05.25	Aurora - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Sporting Cristal - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.25	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
16.05.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.05.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	4:2
06.06.23	Bolívar - Cerro Porteño	2:0
03.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	0:4

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