Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Universitario de Vinto		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	1.86	Watch
	3.2	3.7	1.98	Watch
	3.15	3.6	1.88
	3.46	3.28	2.13	Watch
	3.1	3.6	1.95
	4.56	3.82	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (5.73)	3.63 ↓ (4.42)	1.9 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
26.4%

Draw
25.3%

Bolívar
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

21.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

20.6%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 4. Lopez B. 34. Jara A. (C) 70. Lazarte J. 17. Torrico D. 22. Calicho J. 24. Rodriguez H. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 10. Torrico J. 9. Llano R.	1. Lampe C. (G) 8. Paz L. 3. Arreaga X. 4. Sagredo J. 35. Freita E. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. (C) 80. Melgar C. A. 7. Velasquez J. 9. Cauteruccio M. 17. Pato Rodriguez
Substitutes
5. Alcocer P. 79. Barreto N. 27. Calderon B. 12. Careaga J. (G) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 7. Dorrego H. 15. Gil F. 28. Jose Pinto 45. Mamani Y. 13. Pardo S. 23. Straccia E. F. 20. Valencia J.	31. Butron H. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 5. Echeverria S. 24. Galindo M. 19. Garcia J. 13. Mendez D. (G) 11. Oyola B. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 2. Sagredo J. 20. Sejas C. 6. Vaca Moreno E.
Coaches
Flores W.	Camacho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Jara A. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Freita E. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Rodriguez H. ⚽,
30', Pato Rodriguez 🟨,
36', Sagredo J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Cuellar G. ⚽, Camacho Almanza D. A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Velasquez J. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
60', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
70', Melgar C. A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez H. ↓, Dorrego H. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Robson Matheus ⚽,
83', Justiniano L. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
84', Robson Matheus 🟨,
85', Llano R. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
85', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Barreto N. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Dorrego H. ⚽,
90+2', Torrico J. ↓, Alcocer P. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.

Uni de Vinto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bolívar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolívar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:31. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bolivar	20	14	3	3	54:22	32	45
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	5	3	12	26:39	-13	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.05.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - ABB	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLWL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.05.26	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Blooming - Bolívar	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.26	GVCD San José - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Bolívar - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
03.11.25	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	3:0
24.05.25	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	1:1
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
10.03.25	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	3:2
07.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	1:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.12.24	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	5:1
25.08.24	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	0:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.12.23	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	3:2 penalties

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