Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Bonsucesso		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.1
	2.67	2.30	3.59	Watch
	2.22	2.85	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.28)	2.68 ↓ (2.89)	3.34 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
38.4%

Draw
34.2%

Petrópolis
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

31.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Bonsucesso - Petrópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

Bonsucesso has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Petrópolis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bonsucesso could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
25.10.25	Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Campo Grande - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
25.10.25	Serrano FC - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Petrópolis - São Cristóvão	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Petrópolis - Carapebus Campos	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Petrópolis - Niteroiense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.11.20	Bonsucesso - Petrópolis	0:2

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