Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max


	Bordeaux		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.92	3.45	3.75
	1.95	3.4	3.55
	1.71	3.39	4.27
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.85	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.43 ↑ (3.03)	3.75 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
48.5%

Draw
26.9%

Dijon
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	28%	8%

Bordeaux - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Dijon will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 1 (18.18%), has project points - 66, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 9 (7.69%), has project points - 53, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 40, importance 38, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dijon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bordeaux will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
30.08.22	Bordeaux - Quevilly	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	Bordeaux - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
22.08.22	Grenoble - Bordeaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
10.09.22	Dijon - Sochaux	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Dijon - Annecy	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Metz - Dijon	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Dijon - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.03.21	Dijon - Bordeaux	1:3
04.10.20	Bordeaux - Dijon	3:0
15.02.20	Bordeaux - Dijon	2:2
French Coupe de la Ligue
29.10.19	Bordeaux - Dijon	2:0
French Ligue 1
24.08.19	Dijon - Bordeaux	0:2
20.01.19	Bordeaux - Dijon	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
19.12.18	Dijon - Bordeaux	0:1

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