Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Lepaysant B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3
	2.35	3	3.15
	2.33	3.05	3
	2.43	3.08	3.37
	2.3	3	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.24	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)	3.08 ↓ (3.34)	3.13 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
39.9%

Draw
30.3%

Dijon
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.6%	51.3%	23.1%

Bastia - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Dijon will win (votes: 9 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 51.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.6% – 67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3).

Bastia has the most likely position - 17 (9.05%), has project points - 43, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 5 (7.84%), has project points - 59, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has quality 32, importance 31, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
30.08.22	Saint-Étienne - Bastia	5:0 ✺
27.08.22	Bastia - Rodez	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Amiens - Bastia	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Bastia - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
06.08.22	Niort - Bastia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
30.08.22	Dijon - Annecy	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Metz - Dijon	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Dijon - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Dijon - Caen	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Pau - Dijon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Bastia - Dijon	0:0
11.09.21	Dijon - Bastia	2:1
French Ligue 1
08.04.17	Dijon - Bastia	1:2
29.10.16	Bastia - Dijon	0:0

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