Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 33

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Saint-Étienne		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.9
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.89	3.68	4.33
	1.85	3.68	4.33
	1.8	3.75	3.9
	1.85	3.84	4.01	Watch
	1.84	3.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	3.72 ↓ (3.73)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
51.1%

Draw
25.3%

Bordeaux
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saint Étienne - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 27. Macon Y. 23. Briancon A. (C) 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 7. Monconduit T. 11. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 14. Chambost D. 18. Cafaro M. 10. Mbuku N.	1. Johnsson K. (G) 34. Michelin C. 4. Bokele M. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 10. Weissbeck G. 30. Davitashvili Z. 7. Livolant J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
21. Batubinsika D. 13. Bentayg M. 6. Bouchouari B. 26. Fomba L. 42. Green E. (G) 5. Tardieu F. 25. Wadji I.	35. Angely M. 72. Cassubie Y. 19. Ekomie J. 24. Marcelin J. 11. Pitu A. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G)
Coaches
Dall'Oglio O.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Monconduit T. 🟨,
33', Ignatenko D. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Diaz P. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Nade M. 🟨,
63', Livolant J. ↓, Pitu A. ↑,
67', Mbuku N. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
67', Petrot L. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
73', Nade M. 🟨,
73', Moueffek A. 🟨,
73', Davitashvili Z. 🟨,
74', Nsimba V. 🟨,
82', Moueffek A. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
82', Cafaro M. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
83', Pitu A. 🟨,
83', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Sissokho I. ↑,
85', Briancon A. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Cardona I. ⚽, Monconduit T. (A),
90+2', Nsimba V. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
90+2', Michelin C. ↓, Marcelin J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Cardona I. ⚽,
90+6', Monconduit T. ↓, Batubinsika D. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

Saint-Étienne is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Saint-Étienne is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Saint-Étienne to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
13.04.24	Ajaccio - Saint-Étienne	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	0:4 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
13.04.24	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Bordeaux - Paris FC	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Annecy - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bordeaux - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	0:0
04.03.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	1:1
10.09.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:0
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:1
French Ligue 1
20.04.22	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	2:2
18.09.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:2
11.04.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	4:1

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