Match Info

Date: 27 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video


	Metz		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.2	3.25	3.15
	2.2	3.15	3.15
	2.29	3.26	3.44
	2.25	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.32	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.79)	3.22 ↓ (3.34)	3.22 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
42%

Draw
29%

Dijon
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dijon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	27.8%	27.8%

Metz - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Dijon will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Metz has the most likely position - 1 (18.83%), has project points - 66, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 3 (8.5%), has project points - 59, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 42, importance 52, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Dijon have a series of home games.

Metz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Metz won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Laval - Metz	3:3 ✺
13.08.22	Metz - Valenciennes	2:0 ✺
08.08.22	Caen - Metz	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Metz - Amiens	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Metz - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Dijon - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Dijon - Caen	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Pau - Dijon	0:0 ✺
30.07.22	Dijon - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Dijon - Villefranche	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.05.21	Dijon - Metz	1:5
08.11.20	Metz - Dijon	1:1
26.04.20	Metz - Dijon	Canceled
21.12.19	Dijon - Metz	2:2
13.01.18	Dijon - Metz	1:1
21.10.17	Metz - Dijon	1:2
08.02.17	Metz - Dijon	2:1

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