Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bordeaux		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.3	3.3	3	Watch
	2.36	3.35	3.25
	2.36	3.25	3.25
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.38	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.18)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)	3.08 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
40.8%

Draw
28.6%

Paris FC
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

29.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Bordeaux - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsson K. (G) 34. Michelin C. 4. Bokele M. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 18. Biumla E. 20. Diaz P. 7. Livolant J. 30. Davitashvili Z. 11. Pitu A. 10. Weissbeck G. 9. Vipotnik Z.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 13. Dabila K. 31. Chergui S. 5. Mbow M. 27. Gaudin J. 14. Mandouki C. (C) 17. Camara A. 38. Jabbari A. 10. Kebbal I. 18. Doucet L. 12. Dicko N.
Substitutes
19. Ekomie J. . Grillot J. 24. Marcelin J. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G) 47. Vetro J.	44. Dao M. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. . Filipovic I. (G) 15. Kolodziejczak T. 6. Lasne P. 2. Ollila T. 19. Toure M.
Coaches
Riera A.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', Biumla E. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Dicko N. ⚽, Jabbari A. (A),
35', Jabbari A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Gaudin J. ⚽, Jabbari A. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Bokele M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Biumla E. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Barbet Y. ⚽,
52', 2 - 3, Kebbal I. (Pen),
66', Chergui S. 🟨,
70', Jabbari A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
78', Doucet L. ↓, Lasne P. ↑,
79', Gaudin J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
79', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Vetro J. ↑,
79', Pitu A. ↓, Sissokho I. ↑,
82', Barbet Y. 🟨,
88', Barbet Y. ↓, Grillot J. ↑,
88', Dicko N. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
89', Bokele M. ↓, Marcelin J. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Diaz P. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
90+1', Mbow M. 🟨,
90+2', Mandouki C. 🟨,
90+2', Livolant J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 7).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paris FC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Annecy - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Bordeaux - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Rodez - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Bordeaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Amiens - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Paris FC - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Quevilly - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Concarneau - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.11.23	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:2
18.02.23	Bordeaux - Paris FC	2:1
03.09.22	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:3

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