Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Russia	Okko Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Paris FC		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.35	5	7.75
	1.41	4.6	7.2
	1.32	5.33	9.82
	1.39	4.71	7.48
	1.36	4.8	8
	1.41	4.75	7.6	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.79 ↑ (3.93)	7.76 ↑ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
68.2%

Draw
19.7%

Ajaccio
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Paris FC - Ajaccio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ajaccio (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH -1 - Paris FC (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris FC will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Ajaccio (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 17. Camara A. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 5. Mbow M. 28. De Smet T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 7. Gory A. 29. Hamel P. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J.	30. Quilichini G. (G) 23. Strata T. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 12. Huard M. 43. Kouassi A. 4. Barreto M. (C) 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 25. Anziani J. 11. Toure B. 27. Kante A.
Substitutes
31. Chergui S. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 20. Lopez J. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 39. Tourraine M.	31. Ayessa J. 2. Campanini T. 21. Chegra I. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch Herrantz M. 9. Santelli B. 16. Sollacaro F. (G)
Coaches
Gilli S.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nkambadio O. ↓, Riou R. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Gory A. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
54', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
62', Gory A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
62', Hamel P. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
63', Barreto M. ↓, Puch Herrantz M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
75', Huard M. ↓, Ayessa J. ↑,
75', Toure B. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
77', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
80', Krasso J. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
83', Kante A. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 11).

Paris FC is Qualified for Ligue 1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3.

Paris FC is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ajaccio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paris FC is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury) Youssouf M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Huard M. (Injury)

We predict that Paris FC will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
02.05.25	Martigues - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Rodez - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grenoble - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Paris FC - Clermont	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
02.05.25	Ajaccio - Lorient	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Annecy - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ajaccio - Pau	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Troyes - Ajaccio	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Ajaccio - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.12.24	Ajaccio - Paris FC	0:2
16.03.24	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0
23.09.23	Ajaccio - Paris FC	2:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Paris FC - Ajaccio	1:2
French Ligue 2
07.02.22	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0
14.09.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:0
08.05.21	Ajaccio - Paris FC	1:1

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