Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports France 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Caen		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.25	2.45	Watch
	3.01	3.17	2.61
	2.91	3.18	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.86	3.3	2.49	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.36)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.49 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
33.2%

Draw
29.1%

Paris FC
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caen's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	41.2%	17.6%

Caen - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 24. Vandermersch H. 27. Meddah D. 29. Thomas R. (C) 2. Abdi A. 20. Lebreton N. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 17. Kyeremeh G. 10. Brahimi B. 23. Autret M. 8. Le Bihan M.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 6. Soumahoro A. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 2. Ollila T. 8. Doucet L. 4. Marchetti V. 17. Camara A. 7. Krasso J. 12. Dicko N. 10. Kebbal I.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 7. Gomis T. 22. Hafid M. 6. M'Vila Y. 14. Rajot L.	27. Gaudin J. 96. Gory A. 98. Himeur T. (G) 99. Jabbari A. 20. Lopez J. 23. Lukembila J. 34. Sissoko O.
Coaches
Seube N.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Lebreton N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Meddah D. 🟨,
67', Krasso J. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
67', Dicko N. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
71', Brahimi B. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
71', Autret M. ↓, M'Vila Y. ↑,
74', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
75', Le Bihan M. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Gory A. ⚽, Camara A. (A),
78', Doucet L. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', Ollila T. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
82', Lebreton N. ↓, Hafid M. ↑,
83', Gory A. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Kebbal I. (Pen),
88', Marchetti V. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.

Paris FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Caen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Caen - Guingamp	1:6 ✺
27.07.24	Caen - Quevilly	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Caen - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Caen - Nantes	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
17.05.24	Caen - Valenciennes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Paris FC
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Clermont - Paris FC	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
21.05.24	Rodez - Paris FC	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
17.05.24	Bastia - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Paris FC - Guingamp	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Auxerre - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:1
05.08.23	Paris FC - Caen	0:2
15.04.23	Caen - Paris FC	3:1
27.08.22	Paris FC - Caen	1:1
19.04.22	Paris FC - Caen	1:0
20.11.21	Caen - Paris FC	0:1
27.02.21	Caen - Paris FC	0:2

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