Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Concarneau		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.2
	3.4	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.65	3.15	2.29
	3.73	3.13	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.64	3.02	2.24	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.77)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	2.22 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concarneau
27.2%

Draw
30.5%

Paris FC
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

29.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Concarneau's form might have worsened.

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Concarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Concarneau - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Concarneau will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 33. Faussurier J. 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 2. Georgen A. 19. Diawara K. 6. Phliponeau A. 17. Etuin M. 7. Matondo I. 14. Ba P. I. 20. Mouazan B.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 13. Dabila K. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 27. Gaudin J. 14. Mandouki C. (C) 17. Camara A. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 20. Lopez J. 12. Dicko N.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 9. Ndombasi N. 28. Paro I. 1. Pattier M. (G) 22. Rodrigues C. 23. Sans R. 11. Urie A.	31. Chergui S. 18. Doucet L. 25. Kore Y. 23. Lukembila J. 2. Ollila T. 37. Pannafit F. 1. Riou R. (G)
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Gilli S.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 10).

Recent matches Concarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paris FC is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paris FC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
10.02.24	Annecy - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ajaccio - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Concarneau - Troyes	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Caen - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
10.02.24	Paris FC - Pau	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Amiens - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
23.01.24	Laval - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
20.01.24	Valenciennes - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.08.23	Paris FC - Concarneau	3:0
French Ligue 3
27.01.17	Paris FC - Concarneau	1:0
26.08.16	Concarneau - Paris FC	1:0

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