Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boreham Wood		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	1.88	3.4	3.85
	1.9	3.52	4.08
	1.80	3.28	4.63	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	1.9	3.42	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.52)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.81 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
48.2%

Draw
27.5%

Braintree Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.3%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braintree Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Boreham Wood - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Braintree will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boreham Wood: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Boreham Wood (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashmore N. (G) 10. Abdulmalik A. 5. Bush Ch. 17. Clayden C. 2. Coxe C. 3. Ilesanmi F. 18. Norris L. 6. O'Connell C. 16. Reynolds C. (C) 7. Sousa E. 19. White T.	1. Terry M. (G) 14. Akinde J. (C) 11. Cooper C. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 10. Judge A. 18. Kamara S. 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 23. Smith K. 15. Smith T. 24. Terry F. 9. Walker L.
Substitutes
11. Benton J. 9. Dixon J. 14. Henry A. 15. King J. 12. Newton J. 32. Rush M.	16. Babic G. 19. Hockey F. 20. Hubbard F. 5. Omrore M. 17. Pinnington J. 39. Thorpe E. 6. Vennings J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Coxe C. 🟨,
21', Terry F. 🟨,
30', Smith T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Norris L. (Pen),
45+4', 1 - 1, Marshall-Miranda M. ⚽, Judge A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Coxe C. ↓, King J. ↑,
51', Clayden C. ↓, Rush M. ↑,
62', Reynolds C. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Norris L. ⚽, Sousa E. (A),
68', Judge A. ↓, Vennings J. ↑,
74', Kamara S. ↓, Babic G. ↑,
77', Akinde J. ↓, Thorpe E. ↑,
80', Norris L. ↓, Dixon J. ↑,
81', Terry F. 🟨,
87', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Benton J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 2.

Boreham Wood is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Braintree has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boreham Wood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boreham Wood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Braintree Town - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
16.08.25	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	3:3 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Boreham Wood - Nottingham Forest U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
29.07.25	Wingate & Finchley - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWLWW
- Braintree Town
English National League
16.08.25	Hartlepool United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Braintree Town - Leicester City U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Braintree Town - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Braintree Town - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.12.18	Braintree Town - Boreham Wood	1:1
01.09.18	Boreham Wood - Braintree Town	1:1
20.12.16	Boreham Wood - Braintree Town	0:1
04.10.16	Braintree Town - Boreham Wood	1:2
16.02.16	Braintree Town - Boreham Wood	0:2
26.12.15	Boreham Wood - Braintree Town	1:0

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