Match Info

National League - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Hartlepool United		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.40	3.50
	1.93	3.25	3.30
	2.04	3.45	3.25
	2.01	3.60	3.75
	2.08	3.53	3.27	Watch
	1.99	3.40	3.70
	1.99	3.48	3.58
	2.00	3.40	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.19)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	3.46 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
46.3%

Draw
26.9%

Hornchurch
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hartlepool United - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merrick M. (G) 12. Eccleston N. 14. Sheron N. 6. McNally R. (C) 52. Clark M. 5. Kouogun M. 8. Miley J. 10. Harris W. 55. Lavelle S. 9. Hugill J. 42. Deeming C.	1. Nasta A. (G) 14. Pegrum C. 22. Edwards F. 3. Inniss R. 5. Baldwin J. 2. Greenidge W. 27. Massey A. 10. Balanta A. 8. Wraight T. (C) 9. Hearn H. 18. Weston M.
Substitutes
11. Charman L. 32. Fisher N. (G) 27. Gibson L. 4. Hunter J. 7. Ilunga B. 17. Nolan J. 19. Popov C.	25. Bracking M. 13. Byrne R. (G) 15. Ferguson N. 30. Loft R. 4. Powell J. 11. Sandat H. 7. Walker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Eccleston N. 🟨,
44', Edwards F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Balanta A. ⚽,
62', Hearn H. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
62', Greenidge W. ↓, Sandat H. ↑,
68', Eccleston N. 🟨,
70', Clark M. ↓, Ilunga B. ↑,
70', Deeming C. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Sheron N. (A),
75', Hugill J. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
78', Weston M. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Charman L. ⚽, Sheron N. (A),
86', Balanta A. 🟨,
86', Harris W. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
86', Balanta A. ↓, Ferguson N. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 20th and 9th).

Hartlepool is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hornchurch has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hartlepool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hartlepool has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hartlepool holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16:21	-5	21
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14:20	-6	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Hartlepool: 0.59% Hornchurch: 0.51%

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Hornchurch - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Hartlepool United - Marine	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Hartlepool United - Newcastle United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:4 ✺
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWLL
- AFC Hornchurch
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Uxbridge - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Hornchurch - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
06.10.26	Hornchurch - Fulham U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
03.10.26	Harrogate Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hornchurch - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches