Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mill Farm (Wesham) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	16:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	DAZN
Brazil	16:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	14:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	16:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	DAZN
Turkey	22:45	DAZN Turkiye
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	DAZN
Usa	15:45	DAZN USA
Venezuela	15:45	DAZN
International	19:45	DAZN National League


	Fylde		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.00	3.50
	1.71	3.60	3.80
	1.71	3.90	4.00
	1.82	3.88	4.32
	1.8	3.95	3.84	Watch
	1.76	3.75	4.25
	1.84	4.08	3.57
	1.78	3.85	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	3.88 ↑ (3.85)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
52.2%

Draw
23.9%

Hartlepool United
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.9%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

23.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Fylde - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Pickford G. (G) 29. Drewe A. 3. Broad H. 17. Whelan C. (C) 15. Lancaster W. 6. Merrie C. 23. McCormick L. 8. Whelan T. 10. Mayor D. 30. Malcolm K. 19. Main C.	41. Smith A. (G) 5. Kouogun M. 55. Lavelle S. 6. McNally R. (C) 52. Clark M. 42. Deeming C. 8. Miley J. 14. Sheron N. 7. Ilunga B. 10. Harris W. 11. Charman L.
Substitutes
25. Boyes P. (G) 11. Hadley-Allen D. 28. Matthews Lewis M. 4. Mitchell E. 22. Morris J. 5. Taylor M.	26. Conyard H. (G) 27. Gibson L. 9. Hugill J. 4. Hunter J. 17. Nolan J. 24. Penprase J. 19. Popov C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Harris W. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Charman L. ↓, Popov C. ↑,
57', Main C. ↓, Matthews Lewis M. ↑,
60', Harris W. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
62', Mayor D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
73', Merrie C. ↓, Mitchell E. ↑,
73', Malcolm K. ↓, Hadley-Allen D. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, McCormick L. ⚽,
80', Deeming C. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Matthews Lewis M. ⚽,
90', 3 - 1, Morris J. ⚽, Hadley-Allen D. (A),
90+3', Hugill J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylde won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Hartlepool may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hartlepool has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Fylde for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fylde has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fylde against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 2.8:1.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Fylde - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English National League
24.10.26	Boreham Wood - Fylde	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Fylde - Atherton Collieries	5:0 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Fylde - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Southend United - Fylde	3:1 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Fylde - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWLL
- Hartlepool United
English National League
24.10.26	Hartlepool United - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.26	Hartlepool United - Marine	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
13.10.26	Hartlepool United - Newcastle United U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.10.26	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	2:4 ✺
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.03.25	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1
26.11.24	Hartlepool United - Fylde	2:0
09.01.24	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1
26.08.23	Hartlepool United - Fylde	3:1
13.08.19	Hartlepool United - Fylde	2:2
12.03.19	Fylde - Hartlepool United	4:2
27.11.18	Hartlepool United - Fylde	1:2

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