Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)


	Boreham Wood		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.43	4.57	6.84
	1.45	4.42	6.82
	1.4	4.55	6.92
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.48 ↑ (4.4)	6.81 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
65.7%

Draw
20.7%

Welling United
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

19.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Boreham Wood - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).

Recent matches Boreham Wood is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Welling is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Boreham Wood is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Eastbourne Borough - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Boreham Wood	1:1 ✺
02.09.24	Boreham Wood - Worthing	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Boreham Wood - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Salisbury - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLTL
- Welling United
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
English National League South
07.09.24	Welling United - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Welling United - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Hornchurch - Welling United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.23	Boreham Wood - Welling United	1:0
English National League
30.04.16	Welling United - Boreham Wood	0:3
10.10.15	Boreham Wood - Welling United	2:0
English National League South
20.04.13	Boreham Wood - Welling United	1:1
05.02.13	Welling United - Boreham Wood	4:0

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