Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2024, Monday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.86	3.37	4.05
	1.84	3.36	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.85	3.48	3.97
	1.85	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	3.95 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
49.9%

Draw
26.9%

Welling United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hemel Hempstead Town's performance.

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Welling United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United Predictions

Users Predictions: Hemel Hempstead Town will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Cerulli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Chukwu A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, German R. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, German R. ⚽,
84', 4 - 1, Kurran-Browne C. ⚽,
85', 4 - 2, Kennedy G. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 3.

Hemel Hempstead in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Welling is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hemel Hempstead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hemel Hempstead will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
31.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	4:2 ✺
26.08.24	Enfield Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Weymouth - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWW
- Welling United
English National League South
31.08.24	Welling United - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Hornchurch - Welling United	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Welling United - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
17.08.24	Bath City - Welling United	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2
12.08.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
28.02.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
20.08.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	2:3
26.02.22	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
23.10.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:1
14.11.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2

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