Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 8

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	National League TV


	Welling United		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.09	3.3	2.25
	3.13	3.27	2.27
	2.9	3.4	2.15
	3.02	3.26	2.27
	3.1	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
30.2%

Draw
28.1%

Torquay United
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

27%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Welling United - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Pegrum C. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kennedy G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 2.

Welling is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Torquay in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torquay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Welling won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
02.09.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Welling United - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.08.24	Hornchurch - Welling United	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Welling United - Farnborough	4:1 ✺
17.08.24	Bath City - Welling United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL
- Torquay United
English National League South
03.09.24	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Torquay United - Aveley	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Chesham United - Torquay United	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	Torquay United - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.08.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.04.24	Welling United - Torquay United	1:0
21.10.23	Torquay United - Welling United	5:1
16.02.19	Welling United - Torquay United	2:0
08.12.18	Torquay United - Welling United	3:1
English National League
23.02.16	Torquay United - Welling United	2:0
12.09.15	Welling United - Torquay United	1:1
28.12.14	Welling United - Torquay United	0:0

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