Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 37

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Bartnitzki D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Borussia Dortmund II		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.6	2.1
	3.18	3.86	2.15
	3.21	3.79	2.15
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.19	3.53	2.06	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.33)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	2.09 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
29.7%

Draw
25.7%

Ulm 1846
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

24.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.5%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Borussia Dortmund II - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 17. Gobel P. 23. Pfanne F. (C) 13. Pudel B. 3. Bueno G. 6. Azhil A. 8. Roggow F. 20. Hettwer J. 14. Eberwein M. 27. Elongo-Yombo R. 22. Besong P.	1. Otto L. (G) 4. Gaal T. 6. Geyer T. (C) 32. Strompf P. 18. Stoll L. 8. Ahrend L. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 22. Scienza L. 33. Higl F. 21. Jann N.
Substitutes
15. Aidonis A. 7. Bamba S. 11. Butler J. 48. Klussmann L. (G) 16. Lutke-Frie D. 10. Michel F. 37. Semic L. 5. Suver M. 19. Tattermusch T.	11. Chessa D. 19. Hannemann M. 24. Kastanaras T. 35. Kudala J. 10. Ludwig A. 5. Reichert J. 28. Risch S. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G)
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Rosch R. (Pen),
36', 0 - 2, Scienza L. ⚽, Jann N. (A),
45+2', Pfanne F. 🟥,
45+7', Gobel P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eberwein M. ↓, Suver M. ↑,
56', Strompf P. 🟨,
60', Azhil A. 🟨,
60', Besong P. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
60', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
63', Brandt M. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,
63', Higl F. ↓, Roser L. ↑,
69', Gobel P. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
70', Stoll L. ↓, Kudala J. ↑,
70', Strompf P. ↓, Reichert J. ↑,
77', Jann N. ↓, Kastanaras T. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Azhil A. ⚽, Bueno G. (A),
86', Hettwer J. ↓, Lutke-Frie D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Ulm is Confirmed as championsnQualified for 2. Bundesliga

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ulm in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ulm will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
04.05.24	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Lübeck - Borussia Dortmund II	0:5 ✺
13.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTWTL
- Ulm 1846
German 3 Bundesliga
04.05.24	Ulm 1846 - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Freiburg II - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Ulm 1846 - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Ulm 1846 - Preußen Münster	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Hallescher - Ulm 1846	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Ulm 1846 - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1

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