Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	18:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	14:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Brazil	14:30	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, RedeTV!, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:30	Nova Sport
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Denmark	18:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	01:30	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	17:30	Viaplay
India	23:00	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	00:30	MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Israel	19:30	Sport 2
Italy	18:30	NOW TV, Sky Sport Calcio
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	01:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	22:30	Tapmad
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2
Romania	19:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	01:30	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
South Africa	19:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South Korea	02:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	00:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:30	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+
Vietnam	00:30	ON Plus
International	17:30	Disney+, JioTV app, Onefootball


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.5	Watch
	1.73	4	4.33
	1.8	3.75	4.5
	1.75	4.13	4.62
	1.75	4.14	4.65	Watch
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.77	4.37	4.53	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.7)	4.02 ↓ (4.2)	4.5 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
54.7%

Draw
23.9%

Bochum
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

24.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.1%	9.3%	11.6%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 5. Friedrich M. 30. Elvedi N. 26. Ullrich L. 27. Reitz R. 8. Weigl J. (C) 31. Cvancara T. 7. Stoger K. 25. Hack R. 11. Kleindienst T.	27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 13. Medic J. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 8. Losilla A. (C) 32. Wittek M. 6. Sissoko I. 10. de Wit D. 9. Boadu M. 33. Hofmann P.
Substitutes
2. Chiarodia F. C. 13. Fukuda S. 22. Lainer S. 20. Netz L. 10. Neuhaus F. 19. Ngoumou N. 1. Omlin J. (G) 16. Sander P. 39. Swider N.	29. Broschinski M. 7. Daschner L. 2. Gamboa C. 21. Holtmann G. 1. Horn T. (G) 41. Loosli N. 4. Masovic E. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M.
Coaches
Seoane G.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Elvedi N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Reitz R. ⚽, Stoger K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Hack R. ⚽, Kleindienst T. (A),
58', Passlack F. 🟨,
61', Boadu M. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
61', Losilla A. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
61', Passlack F. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
68', Cvancara T. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
80', Hack R. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
80', Stoger K. ↓, Sander P. ↑,
81', Holtmann G. 🟨,
82', Medic J. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
82', Sissoko I. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
85', Drewes P. 🟨,
86', Kleindienst T. (Pen),
86', 3 - 0, Kleindienst T. ⚽,
89', Reitz R. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
89', Ullrich L. ↓, Chiarodia F. C. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia M won 4.

Borussia M is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bochum is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Bochum have a series of home games.

In this match Borussia M is a favorite.

There will not play in Borussia M: Honorat F. (Ankle Injury) Walde S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Yellow Cards) Pannewig M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Losilla A. (Illness)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Borussia M won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:20 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia M won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:12 (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
11.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.12.24	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTW
- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bochum - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Mainz - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Bochum - Heracles Almelo	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Bochum - Wuppertal	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
31.08.24	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2
24.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	5:2
30.09.23	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3
06.05.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	2:0
08.11.22	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
18.03.22	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2
31.10.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	2:1

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