Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolfsburg		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.88	Watch
	2.38	3.55	2.88
	2.38	3.7	2.99
	2.31	3.65	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.88
	2.39	3.72	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)	3.62 ↓ (3.67)	2.94 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
41%

Draw
26.4%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25.9%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

25.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	11.8%	35.3%

Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Borussia M will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Wolfsburg (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 5. Vini Souza 3. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 6. Belocian J. 21. Maehle J. 39. Wimmer P. 24. Eriksen C. (C) 25. Zehnter A. 17. Pejcinovic D. 9. Amoura M.	33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 6. Engelhardt Y. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 7. Stoger K. 17. Castrop J. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
27. Arnold M. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 15. Jenz M. 26. Kumbedi S. 10. Majer L. 40. Paredes K. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K.	38. Bolin H. 25. Hack R. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 10. Neuhaus F. 23. Olschowsky J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 14. Takai K. 26. Ullrich L.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Chiarodia F. C. 🟨,
70', Amoura M. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
70', Zehnter A. ↓, Kumbedi S. ↑,
77', Honorat F. ↓, Hack R. ↑,
77', Stoger K. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
83', Wimmer P. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
89', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
90+2', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
90+2', Castrop J. 🟥,
90+4', Reitz R. 🟨,
90+4', Daghim A. 🟨,
90+5', Hack R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.

Recent form of Wolfsburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Borussia M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wolfsburg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Wind J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Diks K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Mönchengladbach - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Mainz	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Osnabrück - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.03.26	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3
17.05.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	0:1
14.01.25	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1
07.04.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3
German DFB Pokal
05.12.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:0 ET
German Bundesliga
10.11.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	4:0
09.04.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	2:0

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