Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.87	3.9	3.75
	1.85	3.95	3.95	Watch
	1.88	4.05	4.07
	1.95	3.84	3.57	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.9	4.06	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.95)	3.92 ↑ (3.84)	3.88 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
51%

Draw
24.4%

Hamburger SV
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	9.1%	13.6%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Hamburg will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 64.1% – 89.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Borussia M (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 30. Elvedi N. 2. Chiarodia F. C. 26. Ullrich L. 9. Honorat F. 27. Reitz R. 7. Stoger K. 16. Sander P. 25. Hack R. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 17. Omari W. 8. Elfadli D. 25. Torunarigha J. 16. Gocholeishvili G. 24. Capaldo N. 21. Remberg N. 28. Muheim M. 29. Sahiti E. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A.
Substitutes
17. Castrop J. 4. Diks K. 22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 20. Netz L. 10. Neuhaus F. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G.	7. Dompe J. 23. Meffert J. 2. Mikelbrencis W. 26. Peretz D. (G) 14. Philippe R. 15. Poulsen Y. 13. Ramos G. 22. Soumahoro A. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Seoane G.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Reitz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Capaldo N. 🟨,
66', Stoger K. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
66', Sahiti E. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
74', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
74', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
77', Chiarodia F. C. ↓, Diks K. ↑,
77', Ullrich L. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
83', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
83', Sander P. ↓, Castrop J. ↑,
86', Scally J. 🟨,
86', Capaldo N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑,
86', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 2.

Borussia M is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hamburg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hamburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia M is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia M: Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Machino S. (Calf Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Swider N. (Illness)

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Jatta B. (Thigh Injury) Pherai I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Diks K. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Hamburg: Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Atlas Delmenhorst - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Brentford - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Valencia	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nürnberg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWL
- Hamburger SV
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Pirmasens - Hamburger SV	1:2 ET ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mallorca - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Hamburger SV - Lyon	0:4 ✺
19.07.25	Sturm Graz - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Copenhagen - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.05.18	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
15.12.17	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	3:1
12.03.17	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
German DFB Pokal
01.03.17	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2
German Bundesliga
15.10.16	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	0:0
14.02.16	Hamburger SV - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:2
11.09.15	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hamburger SV	0:3

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