Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+
Germany	DFB Play, tv.dfb.de


	Sturm Graz		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2.2	3.7	2.72	Watch
	2.21	3.66	2.65
	2.25	3.87	2.72	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.75
	2.25	3.76	2.92	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.87)	3.65 ↑ (3.55)	2.86 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
42.5%

Draw
25.3%

Hamburger SV
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.

Sturm Graz - Hamburger SV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gorenc Stankovic J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Chukwuani T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sturm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sturm has had a series of home games.

Sturm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
19.07.25	ASK Voitsberg - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Sturm Graz - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:0 ✺
09.07.25	Sturm Graz - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Sturm Graz - Mura	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sturm Graz - Gleisdorf	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTTW
- Hamburger SV
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Copenhagen - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Oldenburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Greuther Fürth - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Hamburger SV - Ulm 1846	6:1 ✺
03.05.25	Darmstadt - Hamburger SV	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.07.14	Sturm Graz - Hamburger SV	0:2

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