Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.7	3.35	Watch
	2.09	3.75	3.58
	2.30	3.64	2.92	Watch
	2.09	3.81	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	3.73 ↑ (3.64)	3.34 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
45.4%

Draw
25.8%

Köln
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	8.6%	22.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Köln will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 53.2% – 84%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Köln (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Köln (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Köln (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 10. Neuhaus F. 26. Ullrich L. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Schwabe M. (C) 2. Schmied J. 6. Martel E. 39. Ozkacar C. 16. Kaminski J. 18. Johannesson I. 8. Huseinbasic D. 11. Kainz F. 32. Lund K. 30. Bulter M. 13. El Mala S.
Substitutes
22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 20. Netz L. 42. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) 13. Reyna G. 7. Stoger K. 40. Urbich J.	9. Ache R. 17. Castro-Montes A. 25. Gazibegovic J. 3. Heintz D. 5. Krauss T. 37. Maina L. 28. Sebulonsen S. 7. Waldschmidt L. 20. Zieler R. (G)
Coaches
Polanski E.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Reitz R. 🟨,
34', Huseinbasic D. 🟨,
45+2', Tabakovic H. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 0, Sander P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kainz F. ↓, Ache R. ↑,
46', El Mala S. ↓, Sebulonsen S. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Diks K. (Pen),
63', Sander P. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
68', Lund K. ↓, Maina L. ↑,
68', Ozkacar C. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
75', Ache R. 🟨,
75', Diks K. 🟨,
75', Sebulonsen S. 🟨,
75', Neuhaus F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
76', Honorat F. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
80', Johannesson I. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Waldschmidt L. (Pen),
90+6', Reitz R. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Borussia M will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Red Card) Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLW
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
02.11.25	Köln - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Köln - Augsburg	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
09.03.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:3
22.10.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1
02.04.23	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
09.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	5:2
16.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:3
27.11.21	Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:1
06.02.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:2

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