Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, RTL, RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
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Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
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Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
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Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
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Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
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Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.2	Watch
	7.5	6.25	1.32
	9.8	6.9	1.25	Watch
	11.3	7.47	1.24	Watch
	9.5	6.5	1.22
	12.2	7.75	1.22	Watch
	9	6.66	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.04 ↑ (8.16)	6.93 ↑ (6.24)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
9.5%

Draw
13.8%

Bayern Munich
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

15.2%

73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

15.1%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	10.7%	71.4%

Köln - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 10 - 18.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 58.9% – 82.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Köln (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Köln (votes: 4 - 25%). Bayern (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.

Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bayern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Martel E. (Yellow Cards) Schmied J. (Thigh Injury) van den Berg R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bayern: Boey S. (Illness) Davies A. (Illness) Jackson N. (International duty) Kimmich J. (Ankle Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Waldschmidt L. (Illness)

There are questionable in Bayern: Kim Min-Jae (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:53. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.7:2.5).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayern Munich: 79.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	14:2	12	10
13	FC Koln	4	1	1	2	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Köln - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Köln - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Bayern Munich - Mainz	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Bayern Munich - Sporting Lisbon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:4
German Bundesliga
13.04.24	Bayern Munich - Köln	2:0
24.11.23	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:1
27.05.23	Köln - Bayern Munich	1:2
24.01.23	Bayern Munich - Köln	1:1
15.01.22	Köln - Bayern Munich	0:4
22.08.21	Bayern Munich - Köln	3:2

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