Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	ERT Sports 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.52	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.17	7.68	12.37	Watch
	1.56	4.4	5.01	Watch
	1.63	4.33	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	5.03 ↑ (4.4)	6.48 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
65.6%

Draw
19.4%

Karlsruher
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Mönchengladbach's performance.

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Mönchengladbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 1 - 25%). Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 9. Honorat F. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 20. Netz L. 18. Machino S. 7. Stoger K. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 6. Rapp N. 4. Beifus M. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 16. Muller A. 20. Herold D. 25. Egloff L. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Forster P. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
17. Castrop J. 5. Friedrich M. 36. Mohya W. 10. Neuhaus F. 1. Omlin J. (G) 13. Reyna G. 29. Scally J. 26. Ullrich L. 40. Urbich J.	28. Franke M. 13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 44. Laghrissi E. 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Machino S. ⚽, Tabakovic H. (A),
26', Rapp N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Elvedi N. ⚽, Stoger K. (A),
59', 2 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽,
73', Stoger K. ↓, Neuhaus F. ↑,
73', Machino S. ↓, Castrop J. ↑,
77', Muller A. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
77', Forster P. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
77', Beifus M. ↓, Franke M. ↑,
83', Egloff L. ↓, Geller R. ↑,
84', Geller R. 🟨,
86', Netz L. 🟨,
88', Rapp N. ↓, Laghrissi E. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
90', Honorat F. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
90+1', Sander P. ↓, Scally J. ↑,
90+2', Tabakovic H. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,

Preview

Borussia M has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Karlsruher has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Borussia M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Borussia M has had a series of home games.

In this match, Borussia M is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
17.10.25	Union Berlin - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Eintracht Frankfurt	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTL
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.25	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	1:4 ✺
18.10.25	Karlsruher - Kaiserslautern	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher	3:3 ✺
27.09.25	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL

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