Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 2
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	The Strongest		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.25
				Watch
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.5	Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	3.97 ↓ (4.04)	5.33 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
59.3%

Draw
23.4%

Bahia
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

The Strongest - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banegas L. (G) 2. Castro 5. Jusino A. 3. Pedraza P. 44. Supayabe F. 7. Amoroso J. 8. Ursino L. 29. Moriceau T. 30. Arrascaita J. 11. Triverio E. 9. Guerrero S.	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 2. Gilberto 3. Gabriel Xavier 4. Kanu 21. Ramos S. 10. Everton Ribeiro 19. Caio Alexandre 17. Rodriguez L. 6. Jean Lucas 7. Ademir 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
4. Chiatti M. 16. Cuellar V. 18. Flores J. 20. Garcia J. 22. Godoy J. 35. Lino D. 17. Lopez L. 21. Quaglio F. 6. Quiroga A. 19. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G) 12. Valdivia D. (G) 15. Yanarico L.	13. Arias S. 8. Cauly 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 33. David Duarte 14. Erick 46. Luciano Juba 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 5. Rezende 11. Rodrigo 77. Tiago 12. Willian Jose
Coaches
Carlos A.	Mucke R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ursino L. 🟥,
18', Ademir 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Guerrero S. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gilberto ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
46', Ademir ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
60', Jusino A. 🟨,
67', Jean Lucas ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
67', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
67', Castro ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Willian Jose ⚽,
78', Guerrero S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
86', Erick Pulga ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
88', Supayabe F. ↓, Chiatti M. ↑,
90+1', Caio Alexandre 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The Strongest is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Bahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The Strongest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match The Strongest is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
14.02.25	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.01.25	Blooming - The Strongest	1:4 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.12.24	Blooming - The Strongest	4:1 ✺
18.12.24	The Strongest - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	8:0 ✺
16.12.24	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWW
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
15.02.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.25	Bahia - América RN	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.02.25	Bahia - Colo Colo de Ilhéus	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Juazeirense - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.25	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWTT

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