Match Info

Baiano - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)


	Bahia		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	1.1	7.5	19.5
	1.08	9.11	27.47
	1.20	5.99	11.84	Watch
	1.1	7.5	23
	1.11	8.19	21
	1.27	5.2	9.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.29)	7.25 ↑ (4.83)	18.78 ↑ (9.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bahia
82.1%

Draw
12.9%

Juazeirense
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

19.1%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Juazeirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bahia - Juazeirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 7. Ademir 8. Caio Alexandre 16. Erick Pulga 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 3. Gabriel Xavier 31. Gomez R. 6. Jean Lucas 46. Luciano Juba 21. Ramos S. 12. Willian Jose	1. Pedro Campanelli (G) 20. Anderson 19. Bravo 7. Bruno Sena 15. Douglas Nathan 4. Eduardo Rosado 8. Elivelton 6. Leandro 25. Luan 2. Vitinho 3. Ze Romario (C)
Substitutes
89. Dell 14. Erick 27. Everaldo 83. Fred Lippert 25. Iago Borduchi 34. Joao Paulo (G) 43. Luiz Gustavo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 99. Olivera C. 11. Rodrigo 23. Sanabria M. 67. Wendel Passos	22. Arthur Cacule 21. Bino 14. Breno Rayck 23. Italo 11. Jozielson 10. Juninho Tardelli 18. Marlon Almeida 9. Pardal A. 13. Rafael Mandacaru 17. Silva E. 33. Thiago Santos (G) 5. Waguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Ze Romario 🟨,
24', 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Willian Jose ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Erick Pulga ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bravo ↓, Pardal A. ↑,
46', Luan 🟨,
54', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
54', Ademir ↓, Olivera C. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Olivera C. ⚽,
64', Jean Lucas ↓, Erick ↑,
64', Erick Pulga ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
68', Elivelton ↓, Bino ↑,
73', Olivera C. 🟨,
77', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Bino ⚽,
80', Vitinho 🟨,
81', Leandro ↓, Rafael Mandacaru ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Vitinho ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, Sanabria M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:17. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:8. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Bahia - OHiggins	2:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
21.02.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	2:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.26	OHiggins - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.02.26	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTW
- SD Juazeirense
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Juazeirense - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.26	Porto SC - Juazeirense	1:3 ✺
19.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.26	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:1
22.02.25	Bahia - Juazeirense	2:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Juazeirense - Bahia	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
25.02.24	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:2
11.01.23	Bahia - Juazeirense	3:1
27.02.22	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:0
21.02.21	Bahia - Juazeirense	1:2

Upcoming Matches