Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 7

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Boston River		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.1	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.33
				Watch
	1.84	3.56	4.6
				Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.33
	1.78	3.44	4.58	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	3.43 ↓ (3.84)	4.61 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
52.5%

Draw
27.2%

Miramar Misiones
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Boston River - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Boston River (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boston River will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boston River will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Miramar Misiones (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 23. Rivero M. 4. Gomez M. 14. Bortagaray G. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 8. Vera M. (C) 10. Amado A. 26. Munoa F. 9. Anello A. 24. Gutierrez J.	30. Moreno J. (G) 29. Ayala J. 4. Lopez P. 27. Lopez S. 16. Gomez M. 19. Olivera A. 23. Nunez D. 13. Sanchez C. 8. Pandiani A. 7. Yepez I. 9. Da Silva S.
Substitutes
99. Adamo V. 70. Albarracin A. 25. Chiappini F. 28. Gonzalez A. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 5. Lemos L. 21. Lopez G. 22. Martinez F. 16. Silva A. 18. Viera G.	14. Alonso F. 6. Chopitea A. 26. Crisafi J. F. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 21. Rodriguez A. 18. Salazar E. 24. Silvera F. 2. Siri E. 5. Sosa E. 20. Viana L.
Coaches
Viera J.	Peralta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Da Silva S. (Pen),
12', Gomez M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
32', Lopez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez M. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
46', Lopez G. 🟨,
54', Munoa F. 🟨,
60', Moreno J. 🟨,
67', Sanchez C. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
69', Anello A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
74', Da Silva S. ↓, Crisafi J. F. ↑,
80', Crisafi J. F. 🟨,
82', Munoa F. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
82', Gutierrez J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
85', Amado A. ↓, Albarracin A. ↑,
87', Lopez S. 🟨,
90+1', Vera M. 🟨,
90+2', Yepez I. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
90+2', Pandiani A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+6', Adamo V. 🟨,
90+8', Viera G. 🟨,
90+8', Nunez D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).

Boston River has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Miramar Misiones is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Boston River is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.06.25	Boston River - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Progreso - Boston River	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Boston River - Danubio	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
02.06.25	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.06.25	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Montevideo City Torque - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
27.04.25	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	2:0
09.11.24	Miramar Misiones - Boston River	1:0
13.07.24	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	2:1
04.05.24	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	3:1

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