Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 6

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Miramar Misiones		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.75	1.29	Watch
	9	5.5	1.27
				Watch
	10.09	5.72	1.29
				Watch
	9.5	5	1.29
	9.45	5.4	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.91 ↑ (7.5)	5.47 ↓ (6)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
10.5%

Draw
17%

Nacional Montevideo
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

15.6%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

15%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Miramar Misiones (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nacional (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nacional Montevideo will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giossa L. (G) 19. Olivera A. (C) 29. Ayala J. 4. Lopez P. 16. Gomez M. 22. Diaz O. 23. Nunez D. 32. Fernandez M. 7. Yepez I. 9. Da Silva S. 11. Sosa A.	25. Suarez I. (G) 19. Morales L. 15. Calione P. 29. Millan J. 11. Baez Corradi G. 80. Otero R. 6. Boggio L. 8. Oliva C. (C) 24. Mereles E. 7. Lopez N. 9. Petit G.
Substitutes
15. Alonso F. 26. Crisafi J. F. 27. Lopez S. 30. Moreno J. (G) 8. Pandiani A. 21. Rodriguez A. 13. Sanchez C. 24. Silvera F. 2. Siri E. 5. Sosa E.	13. Ancheta E. 12. Bonilla F. (G) 20. Carneiro G. 76. Herazo D. 10. Pereyra M. 2. Ramos N. 18. Recoba J. 77. Rodriguez N. 5. Rodriguez Y. 16. Villalba Jaume L. M.
Coaches
Peralta H.	Peirano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Millan J. 🟨,
29', Ayala J. 🟨,
35', Otero R. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Lopez N. (Pen),
43', Diaz O. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Lopez N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Otero R. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
65', Lopez N. 🟨,
67', Gomez M. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,
67', Nunez D. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
72', Petit G. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
72', Mereles E. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
76', Yepez I. 🟨,
80', Fernandez M. ↓, Crisafi J. F. ↑,
80', Lopez P. ↓, Alonso F. ↑,
81', Boggio L. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
81', Lopez N. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
89', Diaz O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0.

Miramar Misiones is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.6:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.06.25	Montevideo City Torque - Miramar Misiones	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
08.06.25	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.06.25	Nacional Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Nacional Montevideo - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.04.25	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:3
17.10.24	Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	5:1
20.07.24	Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	4:0
16.04.24	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:2
Uruguay Copa
07.09.22	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.05.14	Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:0
08.12.13	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:4

Upcoming Matches