Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Progreso		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.45
	2.72	3.1	2.48
	3	3.1	2.7
	2.86	3.02	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.87	2.97	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.57)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	2.54 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Progreso
33%

Draw
30.6%

Boston River
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Progreso - Boston River Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehring A. (G) 5. Pinheiro A. 4. Paolini M. 13. Carroso H. 40. Cougo A. 8. Colombino A. (C) 10. Lemmo I. 24. Viera S. 29. Fernandez N. 11. Lopez N. 22. Paz A.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 23. Rivero M. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 5. Barrios F. 10. Amado A. 16. Suhr L. 99. Reyna G. 22. Martinez F. 28. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
30. Codagnone A. 23. Copelotti M. 17. De Leon F. 7. Fernandez F. 3. Garcia F. . Lopez F. 33. Requena A. (G) 21. Rivero J. 93. Sanchez D. 18. Silva G.	25. Aguirre A. 8. Bonfiglio F. 14. Dafonte F. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 32. Gonzalez Y. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 21. Perez F. 11. Ramirez G. 2. Sotto K. 15. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Rocco L.	Damonte I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Paolini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez N. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽,
61', Colombino A. 🟨,
64', Suhr L. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
64', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
64', Lemmo I. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
70', Reyna G. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
70', Fernandez I. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
70', Viera S. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
70', Fernandez N. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
77', Cougo A. 🟨,
80', Cougo A. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
90', Amado A. ↓, Dafonte F. ↑,
90+4', Silva G. 🟨,
90+5', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Progreso	9	4	0	5	9:12	-3	12
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.03.26	Cerro - Progreso	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Danubio - Progreso	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Progreso - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLL
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	0:1 ✺
09.03.26	Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Boston River - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.02.26	Cerro - Boston River	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
29.01.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Boston River - Progreso	2:1
19.06.25	Progreso - Boston River	2:0
09.03.25	Progreso - Boston River	2:2
16.10.24	Boston River - Progreso	1:0
13.04.24	Progreso - Boston River	1:0
08.11.21	Boston River - Progreso	0:0

Upcoming Matches