Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.18
	3.52	3.27	2.22
	3.50	3.15	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (4.39)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
27.5%

Draw
29.6%

Racing Montevideo
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

29.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miramar Misiones's performance.

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miramar Misiones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ferreira M. (G) 19. Olivera A. (C) 23. Siri E. 4. Lopez P. 80. Ortiz P. 6. Latorre N. 22. Diaz O. 8. Pandiani A. 24. Silvera F. 9. Da Silva S. 20. Castro A.	25. Amade L. (G) 13. Alvarez F. 3. Bueno G. (C) 17. Ferreira M. 4. Cotugno G. 29. Gonzalez F. 26. Bosca J. 15. Cheuquepal D. 28. Suarez F. 16. Da Silva E. 81. Manzur I.
Substitutes
15. Alonso F. 16. Gomez M. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 27. Lopez S. . Nunez D. 21. Rodriguez A. 37. Roldan M. 17. Saliadarre E. 13. Sanchez C. 18. Tirado F.	6. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 12. Machado F. (G) 24. Mederos R. 37. Oyarzo Y. 18. Ramirez S. 43. Rodriguez A. 5. Rodriguez Y. 30. Scarone A. 22. Severo A. 77. Tomatis B.
Coaches
Giordano B.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Pandiani A. 🟥,
10', 0 - 1, Da Silva E. ⚽,
25', Latorre N. 🟨,
35', Ferreira M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Manzur I. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Silvera F. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Ortiz P. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
46', Latorre N. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
57', Cheuquepal D. ↓, Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↑,
66', Olivera A. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Gonzalez F. (Pen),
70', Bueno G. 🟨,
71', Siri E. 🟨,
71', Suarez F. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
74', Castro A. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
74', Siri E. ↓, Alonso F. ↑,
78', Tirado F. 🟨,
83', Tomatis B. 🟨,
84', Da Silva E. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
84', Bueno G. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
90', Severo A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Racing could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.25	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Miramar Misiones - Boston River	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Nacional Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Montevideo City Torque - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLTL
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
31.05.25	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	0:1
19.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1
13.10.24	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	2:2
06.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:2
22.06.22	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	1:1
17.04.22	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:2

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