Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montevideo City Torque		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.8	5
	1.6	3.7	5.15
	1.65	3.99	5.28
	1.63	3.42	6.16	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.76	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	3.69 ↓ (3.84)	5.47 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
57.7%

Draw
25.2%

Miramar Misiones
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Montevideo City Torque - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Montevideo City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 5. Pizzichillo F. 4. Fratta G. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 15. Busquets E. 26. Silvera F. 14. Kociubinski B. 18. Costa S. 11. Obregon E. 9. Neris P. 21. Nunez W.	30. Moreno J. (G) 19. Olivera A. (C) 29. Ayala J. 15. Alonso F. 16. Gomez M. 22. Diaz O. 10. Ramirez G. 4. Lopez P. 24. Silvera F. 9. Da Silva S. 25. Olivera D.
Substitutes
17. Aguero E. 30. Arevalo K. 23. Dure L. 29. Martinez F. 22. Mendez R. (G) 16. Molina I. 20. Siles P. 27. Taran J.	26. Crisafi J. F. 28. Gelos N. 23. Nunez D. 8. Pandiani A. 14. Pereira G. 31. Pirez M. (G) 37. Roldan M. 17. Saliadarre E. 7. Sosa A. 18. Tirado F.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Giordano B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Da Silva S. (Pen),
18', Fratta G. 🟨,
24', Olivera D. 🟨,
25', Ramirez G. 🟨,
29', Olivera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Nunez W. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Fratta G. ⚽,
54', Alonso F. 🟨,
58', Gomez M. 🟨,
61', Silvera F. ↓, Gelos N. ↑,
61', Ramirez G. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Kagelmacher G. ⚽,
66', Costa S. ↓, Siles P. ↑,
67', Nunez W. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Neris P. ⚽,
78', Diaz O. ↓, Tirado F. ↑,
79', Silvera F. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
79', Gomez M. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
79', Lopez P. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
84', Neris P. ↓, Molina I. ↑,
84', Kociubinski B. ↓, Aguero E. ↑,
89', Pandiani A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Montevideo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Miramar Misiones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Montevideo City is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Montevideo City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.09.25	Danubio - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Plaza Colonia - Montevideo City Torque	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.09.25	Miramar Misiones - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
18.06.25	Montevideo City Torque - Miramar Misiones	0:0
06.04.25	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo City Torque	0:1

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