Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Boston River		Nacional

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.36	Watch
	7.5	4.25	1.36	Watch
	7	4.25	1.35
	6.6	4.1	1.42
	8.99	4.08	1.47
	8	4	1.4
	7.2	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.54 ↑ (6.2)	4.2 ↑ (4.05)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
12.2%

Draw
21.9%

Nacional
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.5%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

18.8%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boston River - Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Torneo Intermedio to Play Offs)).

Boston River is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston River could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Boston River won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston River won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.11.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
11.11.20	Danubio - Boston River	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Boston River - River Plate Montevideo	0:3 ✺
24.10.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Boston River	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Boston River - Deportivo Maldonado	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLW
- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
29.11.20	Portimonense - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.11.20	Independiente del Valle - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.11.20	Casa Pia - Nacional	2:3 ET ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	Nacional - Danubio	0:2 ✺
12.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.10.20	Boston River - Nacional	1:1
05.10.19	Boston River - Nacional	0:2
10.08.19	Boston River - Nacional	0:0
09.03.19	Nacional - Boston River	2:2

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