Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Nacional		Danubio

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.7	5.2
	1.58	3.84	6.88
	1.57	3.6	5.8
	1.57	3.95	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)	3.71 ↓ (4.05)	5.88 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional
59.6%

Draw
24.8%

Danubio
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.1%

18.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Nacional - Danubio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Torneo Intermedio to Play Offs) and 4).

Nacional in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Danubio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Danubio have a series of home games.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Recent matches Danubio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.20	Nacional - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.20	Nacional - Defensor Sporting	3:0 ✺
31.10.20	Deportivo Maldonado - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.10.20	Marítimo - Nacional	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWT
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.11.20	Danubio - Boston River	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
18.10.20	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
11.10.20	Danubio - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.20	Nacional - Danubio	2:0
09.10.19	Nacional - Danubio	1:0
21.07.19	Danubio - Nacional	1:2
16.03.19	Danubio - Nacional	2:0
04.11.18	Nacional - Danubio	1:0

Upcoming Matches