Match Info
Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Portimonense |
|
Nacional |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
Watch |
 |
2.11 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.18 |
3.55 |
3.48 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.48 |
3.42 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.12) |
3.42 ↑
(3.41) |
3.4 ↓
(3.41) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portimonense
44.6% | Draw
27.6% | Nacional
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Portimonense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Portimonense - Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
No spectators. Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2 and 7).Portimonense has a chance of relegated (24%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).Nacional has a chance of relegated (17%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%). Portimonense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Portimonense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Portimonense have a series of guest games. Portimonense will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Portimonense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1. Including matches at home between the teams Portimonense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Liga Portugal | | | 10.03.19 | Portimonense - Nacional | 5:1 | | 26.10.18 | Nacional - Portimonense | 0:1 |
|
Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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