Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Belarus	Sport TV
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Danubio		Boston River

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.88	2.6	Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.68
	2.79	3.1	2.91
	2.73	2.98	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.75
	2.72	2.89	2.81	Watch
	2.71	2.9	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.22)	2.94 ↑ (2.89)	2.76 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Danubio
34.7%

Draw
31.6%

Boston River
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Danubio's form might have worsened.

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boston River's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Danubio - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Boston River will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Boston River (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston River (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 40. Balatti F. 3. Pereyra J. 2. Velazquez E. 31. Cavanagh T. 18. Mayada C. 8. Rodriguez S. 10. Peralta M. 20. Ferreira M. 30. Fernandez S. 21. Azambuja N.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 22. Martinez F. 5. Barrios F. 10. Amado A. 26. Munoa F. 21. Perez F. 16. Suhr L. 8. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
7. Cabrera E. 9. Costantino I. 28. Femia E. 15. Figueroa E. 32. Martinez K. (G) 5. Millan J. 25. Montana A. 4. Rinaldi M. 6. Sosa L. 17. Velazquez A.	25. Aguirre A. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 32. Gonzalez Y. 20. Hornos M. 3. Mancebo M. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 11. Ramirez G. 99. Reyna G. 15. Vazquez L.
Coaches
Monarriz D.	Damonte I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. ⚽,
53', 2 - 0, Ferreira M. ⚽,
60', Damonte I. 🟨,
62', Barrios F. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
63', Perez F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
63', Suhr L. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
66', Ferreira M. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
66', Fernandez S. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
67', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
73', Amado A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
74', Balatti F. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
77', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Hornos M. ↑,
79', Acosta J. 🟨,
84', Peralta M. ↓, Costantino I. ↑,
90+1', Velazquez A. 🟨,
90+3', Gonzalez M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.

In recent matches, Boston River has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Danubio - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Boston River - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Danubio - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Danubio - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.02.26	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
29.01.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 penalties ✺
18.01.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Boston River - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Boston River - Danubio	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.25	Boston River - Danubio	0:0
14.06.25	Boston River - Danubio	1:1
18.04.25	Danubio - Boston River	1:2
08.09.24	Danubio - Boston River	2:0
21.07.24	Boston River - Danubio	1:2
24.02.24	Boston River - Danubio	0:0

Upcoming Matches