The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituano 45.8%
Draw 27.7%
Botafogo PB 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
28%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
27%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo PB's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo PB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Ituano - Botafogo PB Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Botafogo PB will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Botafogo PB (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (G) 9. Gabriel Razera 10. Guilherme Xavier 3. Leo Coltro 2. Lucas Mota 5. Martha 4. Matheus Mancini 11. Neto Berola 8. Richard 7. Thassio 6. Tiaguinho
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu Nardini 12. Erick 31. Gustavo 8. Igor Maduro 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene 35. Octavio 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
17. Alason Carioca 21. Bruno Alves 19. Bruno Mezenga 14. Carlao 16. Guilherme Dal Pian 15. Leandro Sergipe 23. Leo Passos 22. Leo Souza 20. Lucas Stefanello 18. Nelsinho 12. Pantera (G) 13. Victor Reis
30. Alves L. M. 29. Anderson Chaves 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 9. Henrique Dourado 14. Igor Morais 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 6. Patric Calmon 20. Thallyson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Erick 🟨,
39', Richard 🟨,
45+1', Bull 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jhonata Varela ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
46', Bull ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
46', Erick ↓, Thallyson ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Guilherme Xavier ⚽,
62', Lucas Mota 🟨,
65', Gabriel Razera ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
65', Neto Berola ↓, Bruno Mezenga ↑,
73', Thassio ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
73', Guilherme Xavier ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
75', Bastos R. ↓, Dudu Hatamoto ↑,
78', Dudu Nardini ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
85', Octavio 🟨,
86', Tiaguinho ↓, Guilherme Dal Pian ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 18).
Ituano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Botafogo PB has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ituano is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Brazil
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