Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	2.3	2.72	3.2	Watch
	2.41	2.9	3.34
	2.58	2.44	3.58
	2.38	2.6	3.1
	2.34	2.67	3.34	Watch
	2.08	2.88	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.07)	2.76 ↓ (3)	3.3 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
39.5%

Draw
32.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 10. Joao Pedro 19. Macario 2. Pedro Medeiros 11. Petterson Novaes 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos	25. Gabriel Souza (G) 6. Alex Ruan 27. Edson Miranda 28. Eron 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 7. Fabinho 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves (C)
Substitutes
9. Alvaro 18. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 24. Guga 20. Joao Prado 8. Jonatan Lucca 21. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 14. Rafael Milhorim 22. Rafa Fonseca 15. Salas M.	16. Andrey 30. Jefferson Bahia 29. Marcos Andre 13. Matheus Vinicius 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 19. Renato 12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Silva 23. Tiago Marques 31. Ze Mario
Coaches
Higo	Cristian Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Bernardo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Andrey 🟨,
63', Eron ↓, Tiago Marques ↑,
66', 🟨,
67', Adrianinho ↓, Clinton ↑,
67', Edson Miranda 🟨,
72', Alex Ruan 🟨,
73', Petterson Novaes ↓, Joao Prado ↑,
73', Macario ↓, Alvaro ↑,
75', Alex Ruan ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
81', Bernardo ↓, Guga ↑,
81', Joao Pedro ↓, Jonatan Lucca ↑,
90+5', William Alves 🟨,
90+6', Tiago Marques 🟨,
90+9', 0 - 1, Edson Miranda ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Brusque will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brusque won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91% Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Brusque - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Brusque - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Brusque - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Volta Redonda - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWLWT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Maringá - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.01.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Brusque	3:1
13.12.20	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

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