Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Concórdia

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	9
	1.49	3.8	5.75
	1.37	4.5	8.6
	1.38	4.47	9.6
	1.37	4.42	9.23	Watch
	1.36	4.2	9
	1.34	4.65	9.6
	1.37	4.5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (4.7)	4.38 ↑ (3.25)	8.67 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
67.8%

Draw
21.4%

Concórdia
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

28.2%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

27.8%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+48.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-41.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concórdia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-48.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+42.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concórdia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo PB - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Wallace (G) 2. Erick 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 17. Gustavo Ramos 9. Henrique Dourado 3. Renie (C) 7. Rodrigo Alves 16. Sidcley 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Alexandre Villa (G) 9. Carlos Henrique 5. Evandro 11. Felipe Rangel 3. Felipe Siedekum 2. Gabriel Biteco 6. Patryck Annes 8. Pedro M. 10. Pericles 4. Rafael Augusto (C) 7. Ze Andrade
Substitutes
8. Bruno Leite 18. Evandro 10. Falcao 36. Kaue Canela 32. Lucas Lopes 34. Marcelo Augusto 1. Michael (G) 15. Natham 33. Raphael Carvalho 23. Riquelmo	14. Caio Mores 16. Indio 17. Kenzo 18. Kerlly 19. Lipe Lenger 20. Luan 13. Matheus Baseggio 15. Murilo 12. Rodrigo Lucas (G) 21. William

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Gama ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Guilherme Santos ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sidcley ↓, Evandro ↑,
46', Gustavo Ramos ↓, Riquelmo ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Rodrigo Alves ⚽,
53', Evandro ↓, Kenzo ↑,
64', 4 - 0, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
66', Pericles ↓, Indio ↑,
66', Carlos Henrique ↓, Kerlly ↑,
70', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
70', Henrique Dourado ↓, Kaue Canela ↑,
72', Ze Andrade ↓, Lipe Lenger ↑,
73', Patryck Annes ↓, Caio Mores ↑,
75', Guilherme Santos ↓, Falcao ↑,

Preview

Botafogo PB is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Concórdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.03.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.25	Portuguesa - Botafogo PB	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Sousa - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Botafogo PB - Campinense	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWL
- Concórdia AC
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Concórdia - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.02.25	Santa Catarina - Concórdia	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Concórdia - Brusque	1:4 ✺
12.02.25	Avaí - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLLW

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