Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima (Concórdia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Concórdia		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.2	1.8
	4.3	3	1.86
	4.52	3.26	1.84
	4.73	3.17	1.86	Watch
	4.2	2.9	2
	4.66	3.31	1.86
	4.3	3	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (4.08)	3.12 ↑ (3.03)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concórdia
20.8%

Draw
29.7%

Ponte Preta
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

30.8%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

30.6%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-3%)

Concórdia - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexandre Villa (G) 9. Carlos Henrique 3. Felipe Siedekum 5. Foguinho 2. Gabriel Biteco 10. Kenzo 7. Luan 6. Patryck Annes 8. Pedro M. 4. Rafael Augusto 11. Ze Andrade	12. Diogo Silva (G) 26. Concha V. 14. Danilo Barcelos 90. Darnlei 18. Emerson Santos 29. Everton Brito 7. Jean Dias 55. Leo Oliveira 25. Lucas Candido 2. Maguinho 4. Saimon
Substitutes
14. Caio Mores 17. Eli Junior 20. Felipe Rangel 18. Kerlly 19. Lipe Lenger 23. Matheus Baseggio 15. Murilo 16. Pedro Alves 13. Pedro Cella 12. Rodrigo Lucas (G) 21. Wilgner 22. William	77. Bruno Lopes 8. Dudu 20. Joao Gabriel 27. Luiz Felipe 28. Pacheco 1. Pedro Rocha (G) 17. Pedro Vilhena 11. Renato 5. Rodrigo Souza 37. Serginho 31. Victor Andrade

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Foguinho ↓, Felipe Rangel ↑,
14', 0 - 1, Everton Brito ⚽,
25', Danilo Barcelos (Pen),
40', Luan 🟨,
43', 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Felipe Rangel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Ze Andrade ⚽,
83', 🟥,
85', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Concórdia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponte Preta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ponte Preta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
22.02.25	Santa Catarina - Concórdia	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Concórdia - Brusque	1:4 ✺
12.02.25	Avaí - Concórdia	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Concórdia - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	Concórdia - Caravaggio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Ponte Preta - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	São Paulo - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Mirassol - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 LWTWW

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