The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo PB 39.9%
Draw 32.4%
Ferroviária 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
29.1%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
28.3%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo PB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Botafogo PB - Ferroviária Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (C) 30. Guilherme Mantuan 19. Joaozinho 2. Lenon 35. Lidio 23. Pedro Ivo 9. Pipico 6. Rafael Furlan 33. Romercio 21. Vinicius Leite 4. Wendel Lomar
1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 11. Fernando 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 10. Juninho 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 2. Weverton 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
10. Bruno Leite 12. Caio (G) 3. Douglas 11. Dudu 36. Elvinho 17. Gabriel Lima 99. Henrique Dourado 24. Iranilson 18. Lucas Siqueira 20. Thallyson 16. Warley 7. Will
20. Cassio Gabriel 23. Caua A. 19. Denilson Goulart 16. Edson Lucas 14. Jackson 12. Leo Wall (G) 22. Lucas Rodrigues 13. Maycon 17. Pablo 15. Paulinho Santos 18. Quirino 21. Thayllon
Coaches
Evaristo Piza
Junior Rocha
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Vinicius Leite ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gustavo Medina ↓, Thayllon ↑,
46', Fernando ↓, Jackson ↑,
58', Vinicius Leite ↓, Thallyson ↑,
58', Guilherme Mantuan ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
58', Henrique Dourado 🟨,
63', Xavier ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
72', Ricardinho 🟨,
75', Pipico ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
75', Lidio ↓, Lucas Siqueira ↑,
82', de Moura C. ↓, Quirino ↑,
82', Juninho ↓, Denilson Goulart ↑,
84', Pedro Ivo 🟨,
86', Pedro Ivo ↓, Bruno Leite ↑,
89', Romercio 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
Botafogo PB is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ferroviária is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.