Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.37
	1.79	3.22	4.56	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.38	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.88)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	4.38 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
50.7%

Draw
28.5%

Figueirense
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

28.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Botafogo PB - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo PB will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (C) 10. Bruno Leite 3. Douglas 8. Edmundo 34. Iranilson 29. Jo 35. Lidio 9. Pipico 6. Rafael Furlan 14. Renie 26. Sillas	1. Thiago Goncalves (G) 11. Alisson Santos 10. Camilo 27. Genilson (C) 19. Guilherme Pato 32. Jefinho 5. JP Iseppe 2. Leonardo Maia 8. Matheus Farinha 6. Samuel Toscas 4. Thomas Kayck
Substitutes
22. Erick 15. Gama 99. Henrique Dourado 5. Lucas Goncalves 28. Matheus Santos 27. Paulinho 23. Pedro Ivo 21. Vinicius Leite 12. Wallace (G) 16. Warley 7. Will	30. Bruno Michel 14. Cedric 31. Henrique Rodrigues 3. Rafael Ribeiro 9. Renan Bernabe 24. Ruan Levine 15. Tiago Barbosa 23. Tito 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Joao Burse

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Leonardo Maia 🟨,
31', Guilherme Pato 🟨,
32', Lidio 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Camilo ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
75', Edmundo ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
75', Pipico ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Vinicius Leite ⚽,
80', Matheus Farinha ↓, Henrique Rodrigues ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Alisson Santos ⚽,
84', JP Iseppe ↓, Rafael Ribeiro ↑,
84', Bruno Leite ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Jo ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Jo ⚽,
90+5', Jefinho ↓, Ruan Levine ↑,
90+5', Alisson Santos ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
90+5', Sillas ↓, Warley ↑,
90+5', Jo ↓, Pedro Ivo ↑,
90+10', Pedro Ivo 🟨,
90+13', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
28.07.24	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
21.07.24	Botafogo PB - ABC	1:0 ✺
17.07.24	Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:3 ✺
08.07.24	São Bernardo - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWTL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.24	Figueirense - Remo	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Tombense - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	4:0 ✺
07.07.24	Figueirense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
03.07.24	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.05.23	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:2
08.08.22	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	1:1

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